Oregon getting rocked by Utah ensures that they will be missing the playoffs and any possibility of revenge for OSU is gone. The biggest benefactor of this is UC who is guaranteed a playoff spot if they are able to beat ECU and then Houston in the AAC championship. There are basically two scenarios left assuming there isnt ridiculous chaos.
Easy scenario: Bama, OSU, and UC win out. This would lead to a Bama/UC matchup and OSU/UGA matchup.
Chaos scenario: UGA, OSU, and UC win out. This would lead to the 4th spot being open to:
- 11-2 Alabama-The committee LOVES Bama this year despite a loss to A&M and very close wins over Florida, LSU, and Arkansas. Ole Miss would be a ranked win and Arkansas could potentially sneak in the top 25 if they win next week and move to 8-4. 2 losses would be bad but if one is to the easy #1 Bulldogs how much would it hurt them?
- Notre Dame-The 11-1 Irish would be an interesting alternative to Bama. They would only have 1 loss and it would be a quality one by losing to an undefeated playoff team. They would have a similar resume with Bama with 1 solid ranked win in Wisconsin and a potential 8-4 Purdue sneaking in the top 25.
- Oklahoma State-Assuming they are able to win out over OU and then either Baylor or OU again in the Big 12 championship this would be a team with a very good resume. They would be 12-1 conference champs with a close 3 point road loss to Iowa State. Their wins would consist of Baylor, Oklahoma, and then a potential Big12 conference game. This scenario may be the most unlikely because they would have to win two tough games to get into this position.
So which of those 3 teams would get the last spot?
