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Fake BCS Rankings - If They Existed - 2023 WK 8

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I_Run_The_Dave's picture
October 27, 2023 at 4:49pm
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I skipped a week last week, my apologies, I was a bit busy.

Topic from 2 weeks ago (week 6): https://www.elevenwarriors.com/forum/college-sports/2023/10/141644/fake-bcs-rankings-if-they-existed-2023-wk-6

Apparently strength of schedule matters in the computers, as Georgia dropped and Ohio State has a massive lead over the field.  It's not enough to be 1 overall, but you have Michigan and Ohio State at 1 and 2 with a very very slight margin between them.  Interesting that UGA has been unseated without losing.

Fake BCS Rankings - 2023 Week 8
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg
Michigan 8-0 1 0.9421 2 0.9549 2 0.9513 2 0.9200
Ohio St 7-0 2 0.9406 3 0.9232 3 0.9119 1 0.9867
Georgia 7-0 3 0.9088 1 0.9752 1 0.9913 7 0.7600
Florida St 7-0 4 0.8884 4 0.8940 4 0.8913 3 0.8800
Oklahoma 7-0 5 0.8199 6 0.8044 6 0.8019 4 0.8533
Washington 7-0 6 0.8159 5 0.8413 5 0.8331 6 0.7733
Alabama 7-1 7 0.7399 9 0.6800 8 0.7131 5 0.8267
Texas 6-1 8 0.7319 7 0.7302 7 0.7188 8 0.7467
Penn St 6-1 9 0.6714 10 0.6343 10 0.6600 9 0.7200
Oregon 6-1 10 0.6178 8 0.7194 9 0.6806 13 0.4533
Mississippi 6-1 11 0.5866 12 0.5644 11 0.5819 10 0.6133
Utah 6-1 12 0.5641 13 0.5511 13 0.5413 11 0.6000
Oregon St 6-1 13 0.5321 11 0.5854 12 0.5575 13 0.4533
LSU 6-2 14 0.4331 15 0.4362 15 0.4231 15 0.4400
Notre Dame 6-2 15 0.4286 14 0.4559 14 0.4300 16 0.4000
Missouri 7-1 16 0.3627 16 0.3771 16 0.3775 17 0.3333
North Carolina 6-1 17 0.2711 17 0.3213 17 0.3588 23 0.1333
Air Force 7-0 18 0.2548 19 0.2508 19 0.2338 18 0.2800
Louisville 6-1 19 0.2317 18 0.2667 18 0.2819 22 0.1467
JMU 7-0 20 0.2208 25 0.1060 25 0.0631 12 0.4933
Tennessee 5-2 21 0.1967 21 0.1943 20 0.2225 19 0.1733
USC 6-2 22 0.1547 24 0.1225 22 0.1681 19 0.1733
Duke 5-2 23 0.1514 20 0.2356 21 0.2188 NR 0.0000
Tulane 6-1 24 0.1346 22 0.1575 23 0.1263 25 0.1200
UCLA 5-2 25 0.1321 23 0.1543 24 0.1219 25 0.1200

I don't have the time right now to really think through the implications here.  A few things do jump out, like JMU being 12 in the computers but 25 in both polls.  The reverse is true for UNC, being at 17 in both polls but 23 in computers (not enough to impact the ranking at all though).  Duke also appears to be overrate in the polls.

Interested to see if Michigan will start dropping -- I'd imagine they'd stay strong in the computers until they lose, but human voters might allow the scandal to start impacting their votes.  If that's the case, expect Ohio State to be the #1 in the BCS next week barring anything unexpected at Luke Fickel's place.

Go Bucks!

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