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Fake BCS Rankings - If They Existed - 2023 Week 11

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I_Run_The_Dave's picture
November 14, 2023 at 8:50am
9 Comments

Last week's topic: https://www.elevenwarriors.com/forum/college-sports/2023/11/142768/fake-bcs-rankings-if-they-existed-2023-week-10

Unfortunately, our 2 week run at the top spot has come to an end.  UGA, with a dominant win over Ole Miss has vaulted up to the top spot.  Is this because they suddenly got a great strength of schedule?  LOL no.  But they made enough ground in the computers to go along with their steady #1 positions in both polls to wrest the top spot. 

And unfortunately TCUN jumped us too, by a mere 25 hundredths of a point.  Several of the computers have them with a better SoS than us, due to Notre Dame not playing great and PSU not having an offense (we should know better by now than to ever root for James Franklin in a game that matters).  I'm curious whether or not those failed 2 point conversions switching to extra points would have been enough to keep us ahead in the computers.  IDK.  They're not supposed to use margin of victory (or at least, they weren't during the actual BCS).  Not that it matters, we play in 2 weeks.

Fake BCS Rankings - 2023 Week 11
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg Last Week
Georgia 10-0 1 0.9560 1 0.9935 1 0.9944 4 0.8800 2
Michigan 10-0 2 0.9296 2 0.9445 2 0.9244 3 0.9200 3
Ohio St 10-0 3 0.9271 3 0.9245 3 0.9169 2 0.9400 1
Washington 10-0 4 0.8939 5 0.8529 5 0.8488 1 0.9800 5
Florida St 10-0 5 0.8846 4 0.8813 4 0.8925 4 0.8800 4
Alabama 9-1 6 0.7681 8 0.7361 8 0.7481 6 0.8200 7
Oregon 9-1 7 0.7636 6 0.7858 6 0.7850 8 0.7200 8
Texas 9-1 8 0.7519 7 0.7613 7 0.7544 7 0.7400 6
Louisville 9-1 9 0.5926 9 0.6465 9 0.6513 13 0.4800 11
Penn St 8-2 10 0.5681 12 0.5581 12 0.5563 11 0.5900 9
Missouri 8-2 11 0.5557 11 0.5916 11 0.5856 12 0.4900 15
Mississippi 8-2 12 0.5540 13 0.5226 14 0.5094 10 0.6300 10
Oregon St 8-2 13 0.4911 10 0.6026 10 0.5906 18 0.2800 13
Oklahoma 8-2 14 0.4778 14 0.4729 13 0.5106 14 0.4500 14
LSU 7-3 15 0.4335 15 0.4535 15 0.4169 15 0.4300 20
JMU 10-0 16 0.3752 18 0.2613 21 0.2144 9 0.6500 17
Utah 7-3 17 0.3341 16 0.3503 16 0.3319 17 0.3200 12
Tulane 9-1 18 0.2484 17 0.2639 17 0.2713 19 0.2100 21
Notre Dame 7-3 19 0.2289 20 0.2316 18 0.2650 21 0.1900 22
Tennessee 7-3 20 0.1783 21 0.2142 19 0.2506 NR 0.0700 16
Liberty 10-0 21 0.1651 25 0.0858 NR 0.0494 16 0.3600 23
North Carolina 8-2 22 0.1643 22 0.1710 20 0.2419 25 0.0800 25
Arizona 7-3 23 0.1514 19 0.2497 22 0.1844 NR 0.0200 NR
Iowa 8-2 24 0.1428 NR 0.0710 23 0.1575 20 0.2000 NR
Kansas St 7-3 25 0.1331 23 0.1542 24 0.1350 24 0.1100 NR

CFP Prediction: Georgia is going to jump us, there's not really much question on that.  Is Ole Miss over valued at 8-2?  Absolutely.  People need to stop thinking they are good at any point in the season.  But the way they got drubbed was crazy (if you look past the first quarter).  That's more impressive than any of our wins, even if PSU is a better football team.

I would also be interested to see if Washington jumps FSU.  They've been at/near the top of the computers for a while, but the polls have been under valuing them.  

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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