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Best Offense/Defense Recruiting Classes in Recent History, Kinda

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datanut's picture
July 1, 2022 at 4:41am
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Some of you might have seen my Meyer V Day Recruiting Series for each side of the ball. It got me interested in trying to create Offense/Defense Recruiting Scores similar to the overall 247 Team Recruiting Score. I got recruiting data for Ohio State, Alabama, Georgia, Texas, Texas A&M, Florida, USC, Oregon, Michigan, Notre Dame, Clemson, Oklahoma, LSU, Penn St., Clemson, Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida State, Tennessee and Miami from 2012-2022. I found this Reddit post really helpful as it gave me an equation to work off of. I just changed the sigma (the standard deviation) from 9 to 2.5 so the equation worked for just offense/defense recruits. I split each recruiting class into an offense and defense section (ignoring ATH recruits, Special Team recruits, and recruits with no composite recruiting score). The standard deviation of offense class size amongst these teams was 2.4117, and the standard deviation of defense class size amongst these teams was 2.8542. Averaging this out gave me roughly 2.6 so I just rounded down to 2.5 since the original sigma used by 247 was a rounded 9. I know this isn't mathematially sound but I think it's good enough for this post for now lol. After deciding sigma as 2.5, I calculated Offense/Defense Recruiting Scores for each team. Below is a rough breakdown showing how the Offense/Defense Recruiting Score was calculated for the 2022 Ohio State recruiting class specifically.

2022 Ohio St Class Offense Recruiting Score Breakdown
Rank Recruit Score Contribution to Offense Recruit Score
1 Devin Brown 0.9808 28.08000
2 Kaleb Brown 0.9684 25.76655
3 Kyion Grayes 0.9627 22.31284
4 Tegra Tshabola 0.9557 17.70900
5 Caleb Burton 0.9465 12.82910
6 Kojo Antwi 0.9400 8.65075
7 Carson Hinzman 0.9300 5.29152
8 George Fitzpatrick 0.9111 2.85693
9 Dallan Hayden 0.9041 1.49747
10 Bennett Christian 0.8917 0.70273
11 Avery Henry 0.8726 0.29135
  Average Recruit Score 0.9331  
  Offense Team Score   120.3657
2022 Ohio St Class Defense Recruiting Score Breakdown
Rank Recruit Score Function Output/Contribution to Defense Recruit Score
1 C.J. Hicks 0.9948 29.48000
2 Sonny Styles 0.9937 28.19535
3 Kenyatta Jackson 0.9748 23.34057
4 Omari Abor 0.9724 18.86559
5 Gabe Powers 0.9563 13.33914
6 Caden Curry 0.9506 9.032822
7 Hero Kanu 0.9502 5.756259
8 Jyaire Brown 0.9237 3.027450
9 Ryan Turner 0.8979 1.451985
  Average Recruit Score 0.9572  
  Defense Team Score   123.5933

Greatest Offense/Defense Recruiting Classes in Recent History

I got curious wondering what the best offense and defense recruiting classes of recent history were. While I didn't have the bandwidth to check every school's class from 2012-2022, I did check many of the best recruiting teams in the country (full list above). Below are the "best" offensive/defensive recruiting classes from 2012-2022 based on Offense Recruiting Score, Offense Recruit Average, Defense Recruiting Score, and Defense Recruit Average from these schools.

Top 10 Offense Recruiting Classes By Score (2012-2022*)
Rank Team Year Offense Recruiting Score Offense Recruit Avgs Num Offense Recruits
1 Georgia 2018 140.131311 0.954658 12
2 Alabama 2021 139.971001 0.960267 12
3 Alabama 2017 139.872206 0.943227 15
4 Ohio State 2021 139.411253 0.960436 11
5 Alabama 2013 137.050602 0.937231 13
6 Texas A&M 2022 136.489599 0.950333 12
7 Alabama 2022 136.206656 0.949167 12
8 Ohio State 2020 135.946546 0.925336 14
9 Alabama 2015 134.957918 0.946609 11
10 Georgia 2020 134.778270 0.932993 14

 

Top 10 Defense Recruiting Classes By Score (2012-2022*)
Rank Team Year Defense Recruiting Score Defense Recruit Avgs Num Defense Recruits
1 Texas A&M 2022 142.374592 0.956524 17
2 Alabama 2014 140.491078 0.950669 13
3 Georgia 2022 139.128619 0.948053 15
4 USC 2015 138.687716 0.949662 13
5 Ohio State 2017 138.197106 0.956145 11
6 Georgia 2019 137.614844 0.942946 13
7 Alabama 2021 136.916184 0.941764 14
8 Clemson 2020 136.389464 0.944709 11
9 Florida State 2012 135.922776 0.951400 10
10 Ohio State 2018 135.330374 0.941414 14

 

Top 10 Offense Recruiting Classes By Average (2012-2022*)
Rank Team Year Offense Recruiting Score Offense Recruit Average Num Offense Recruits
1 Ohio State 2021 139.411253 0.960436 11
2 Alabama 2021 139.971001 0.960267 12
3 USC 2013 116.785816 0.958517 6
4 Georgia 2018 140.131311 0.954658 12
5 Oklahoma 2021 116.083145 0.953550 6
6 Texas A&M 2022 136.489599 0.950333 12
7 Alabama 2022 136.206656 0.949167 12
8 USC 2018 115.367227 0.949017 6
9 Texas 2012 128.588834 0.947233 9
10 Alabama 2015 134.957918 0.946609 11

 

Top 10 Defense Recruiting Classes By Average (2012-2022*)
Rank Team Year Defense Recruiting Score Defense Recruit Average Defense Recruit Num
1 USC 2013 120.117593 0.971600 6
2 Ohio State 2022 123.593346 0.957156 9
3 Texas A&M 2022 142.374592 0.956524 17
4 Ohio State 2017 138.197106 0.956145 11
5 Alabama 2019 134.723557 0.955800 15
6 Alabama 2017 132.945185 0.954427 11
7 Ohio State 2021 134.853782 0.954260 10
8 Clemson 2021 121.034133 0.953414 7
9 Alabama 2022 133.046616 0.952140 10
10 Florida State 2012 135.922776 0.951400 10
10 Alabama 2014 140.491078 0.950669 13

A Deeper Look Into 2023 Recruiting Class Progress

Below is a detailed outline of a few schools' 2023 recruiting classes. Top 3 teams in each Score/Average Rating Column have been bolded for clarity.

Deep Dive Into 2023 Recruiting Classes
School Class Score Offense Recruiting Score Defense Recruiting Score Avg Recruit Rating Avg Offense Recruit Rating Avg Defense Recruit Rating Num Recruits Num Offense Reruits Num Defense Recruits Top 3 Categories
OHIO STATE 264.179358 129.631782 102.119107 0.940380 0.949489 0.926717 15 9 6 5
NOTRE DAMe 262.779938 109.338353 124.126959 0.930213 0.915825 0.944600 16 8 8 5
Texas 255.617613 122.054103 100.100032 0.915294 0.913027 0.919450 17 11 6 2
Clemson 240.499776 101.947319 109.207649 0.918453 0.921783 0.919288 15 6 8 1
Penn State 235.938015 109.087891 98.988640 0.907087 0.910975 0.904729 16 8 7 0
Georgia 219.468714 104.005593 97.180444 0.920950 0.926667 0.934720 12 6 5 0
USC 206.621320 99.841052 69.063988 0.920673 0.937140 0.895100 11 5 4 1
Tennessee 198.158315 79.217093 93.337645 0.899133 0.918175 0.889271 12 4 7 0
alabama 181.030913 69.547562 94.073698 0.947087 0.945500 0.965325 8 3 4 3
miami 177.154481 99.027123 17.860000 0.902720 0.897986 0.878600 10 7 1 0
oklahoma 154.105887 85.403180 35.237693 0.892622 0.906780 0.879600 9 5 2 0
florida 154.010882 61.254981 61.303151 0.892511 0.873525 0.917867 9 4 3 0
oregon 153.691134 66.875417 80.411847 0.909512 0.936733 0.893180 8 3 5 0
florida state 141.986564 71.199217 55.325070 0.893687 0.900600 0.894400 8 4 3 0
lsu 121.625602 59.590472 60.825091 0.913200 0.910500 0.915900 6 1 3 0
texas A&M 100.494512 19.730000 67.678309 0.906400 0.897300 0.937667 5 4 1 1
Michigan 99.108693 67.113441 17.690000 0.872817 0.889850 0.876900 6 4 2 0
ole Miss 98.710040 39.042502 35.958098 0.904000 0.898950 0.883400 5 2 2 0
Auburn 40.521416 19.270000 21.370000 0.903200 0.892700 0.913700 2 1 1 0

Even with Texas's recent momentum, Ohio State and Notre Dame are solely jockeying for the best class in the 2023 year currently (seemigly trading first place wth their respective commitments). However, we can see that all Alabama might need is some time as they are top 3 in every average recruit rating category. Georgia is another team whose average rating stats pop off the page to me. Should be a fun race for the best class this year :)

I'd love to know everyone's thoughts on the results! It was a lot of copy pasting so I apologize if I got any of the numbers wrong.

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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