Do Rankings Matter?: Taking a Look at Ohio State and Alabama's Recruiting Numbers to See Who Has the Talent Edge

By Zack Carpenter and Matt Gutridge on January 8, 2021 at 2:30 pm
Jonathon Cooper, DeVonta Smith
Jonathon Cooper, DeVonta Smith (Smith photo – Mickey Welsh/USA Today)
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Stars matter. Or maybe they don't.

It's a matter of perspective for some. For others, it's the most objective lens through which to view an actual on-field matchup.

When Ohio State and Alabama square up and get after it on Monday night, they will do so with the No. 3- and No. 2-best rosters talent-wise in the nation according to the 247Sports Team Talent Composite. On that list, Alabama (with 85 players) holds a slight lead in both major categories over Ohio State (with 85 players):

Total Points Average
  • Alabama: 985.86
  • Ohio State: 976.48
Average Player Rating
  • Alabama: 93.25
  • Ohio State: 92.89

That's where the Buckeyes and Crimson Tide match up across the board in totality. But we dove into the numbers to give a side-by-side comparison of where the two rosters – at least the projected starters – stand when looking at matchups on either side of the ball: 

  • Ohio State offense vs. Alabama defense
  • Alabama offense vs. Ohio State defense

Ohio State Offense Vs. Alabama Defense

PROJECTED DEFENSIVE / OFFENSIVE STARTERS WITH RECRUITING RANKINGS
Alabama
 
       
                     
Ohio State

 

POSITION PLAYER COMP. RATING OVERALL RATING POSITION PLAYER COMP. RATING OVERALL RATING
DE LaBRYAN RAY .9867 28 (2 DE) LT THAYER MUNFORD .8985 285 (28 OT)
DT DJ DALE .9076 254 (18 DT) LG MATTHEW JONES .9652 68 (1 OC)
DE CHRISTIAN BARMORE .9298 176 (16 DT) C JOSH MYERS .9757 53 (2 OG)
JACK WILL ANDERSON JR. .9913 17 (1 WDE) RG WYATT DAVIS .9876 24 (1 OG)
SLB CHRISTOPHER ALLEN .9520 104 (4 ILB) RT NICHOLAS PETIT-FRERE .9963 7 (1 OT)
MLB DYLAN MOSES .9922 13 (2 OLB) RB TREY SERMON .9232 191 (12 RB)
WLB CHRISTIAN HARRIS .9506 110 (6 ILB) TE LUKE FARRELL* .9233 191 (7 TE)
CB JOSH JOBE .9509 109 (14 CB) WR GARRETT WILSON .9922 20 (2 WR)
SS JORDAN BATTLE .9780 43 (2 S) QB JUSTIN FIELDS .9998 2 (1 DUAL)
FS DANIEL WRIGHT .9436 122 (16 S) WR CHRIS OLAVE .8875 399 (68 WR)
CB PATRICK SURTAIN II .9973 6 (1 CB) WR JAMESON WILLIAMS .9404 82 (13 WR)
               
  AVERAGE .9618 89 (7 POS) AVERAGE   .9536 120 (12 POS)
NUMBER OF OFFENSIVE PLAYERS RECRUITED PER POSITION
Alabama
         
Ohio State
POSITION NO. OF PLAYERS AVG RATING   POSITION NO. OF PLAYERS NO. OF PLAYERS
OT 9* .9563   OT 8 .9307
OG/OC 7 .9110   OG/OC 5 .9499
TE 6* .8834   TE 3 .9121
RB 9 .9374   RB 6 .9323
WR 11* .9389   WR 12 .9458
ATH 3 .9467   ATH 5 .9137
QB 6* .8991   QB 5 .9485
             
TOTAL 51 .9266   TOTAL 44 .9360

*Includes one player who transferred to Alabama at this position.

Five Things: Ohio State's Offense vs. Alabama's Defense

  1. Overall, Ohio State's offense is 94 points better than Alabama's defense. In the Sugar Bowl, the Buckeyes held a 321-point advantage over Clemson. That translated to 49 points, a program bowl record. 
  2. Alabama's secondary has an average player rating of 96.75, which is a couple points better than the Buckeyes' QB/WRs who have a 95.50 average rating. This is the first time this season Fields and Co. have faced a defense with this level of recruiting talent.
  3. In the trenches, Ohio State's offensive linemen come in with a 96.47 average. That is 108 points better than Alabama's defensive line average of 95.39. For comparison's sake, Clemson's defensive linemen went in with a 98.22 average.
  4. Alabama's Patrick Surtain II (.9973), is the highest rated starting defensive player on either team.
  5. Justin Fields (.9998) is the highest rated starting player for either team. 

Recruiting Battles

Patrick Surtain II

Kerry Coombs' visit to Florida's American Heritage High School in May of 2017 helped buoy Surtain's visit to Ohio State for the spring game just a month prior. And that looked like it was giving the Buckeyes a momentum shift for the former five-star cornerback, one who finished the 2018 cycle ranked as the No. 1 cornerback and No. 6 overall player in America.

Ohio State and Alabama found themselves on Surtain's top-six list, in addition to Clemson, Florida, Florida State and LSU.

Coombs and Co. made a hard push for Surtain, who would have been the highest-ranked cornerback the Buckeyes had ever signed in program history ahead of Jeff Okudah (No. 8 overall, No. 1 CB) in the 2017 cycle. But Ohio State got beat out by the Tide, which left the Buckeyes' defensive staff obviously disappointed – something offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson discussed during media availability this week.

“I mean, he's a tremendous player. A guy we recruited hard,” Wilson said of Surtain. “I know Coach Coombs was disappointed when we didn't get half and those guys were dealing trying to get him in here. I think it was just Coach Coombs back then. But he's a tremendous player. He's athletic. He's long. He's going to do a great job.”

Jordan Battle

The Buckeyes and Tide battled (see what we did there?) for Jordan in the last few months of 2018, each hoping to sign the nation's No. 2-ranked safety. 

Battle had been committed to Ohio State since June of 2018, but shortly after Urban Meyer announced his retirement, the No. 43 overall player of the 2019 class opted to sign with Alabama during the early signing period. This week, Battle opened up about the decision to choose the Tide over the Buckeyes and the fact that both programs were meeting up in the national championship game.

“You know what's funny? My mom, dad and my brother, we were all talking about it in a group chat this past week,” Battle said. “It's kind of funny that  either school I would have went to, I would have been in the national championship. I give all praise to Ohio State. Great coaching staff, great players. I just had to make the best decision for me towards the end to come to Alabama. I give all the praise and all the excitement and joy in Ohio State as well.

“Like I said before, it was a personal thing. I had to make the best decision for me. Obviously you see I did make the best decision for me, and that's all it came down to. I don't remember the process and all that. There's too much in college for me to remember that.”

Summary

With how much the Buckeyes' secondary has struggled with an up and down season, having Battle and Surtain on their side would certainly have been a massive advantage heading into Monday night – especially with Ohio State being able to hold up in pass coverage against Alabama's lethal offense being such a key question.

Overall, though, the Tide's defense has an advantage over the Buckeyes' offense in the recruiting rankings both in average rating and average rankings, but the margin isn't nearly as wide as it was between Ohio State (No. 120 overall, No. 12 position) and Clemson (No. 260 overall, No. 20 position).

Ohio State's Defense Vs. Alabama's Offense

 
PROJECTED OFFENSIVE / DEFENSIVE STARTERS WITH RECRUITING RANKINGS
Alabama
 
       
                     
Ohio State
POSITION PLAYER COMP. RATING OVERALL RANKING POSITION PLAYER COMP. RATING OVERALL RANKING
LT ALEX LEATHERWOOD .9981 4 (1 OT) DE JONATHON COOPER .9811 33 (3 WDE)
LG DEONTE BROWN* .9258 177 (9 OG) DT HASKELL GARRETT .9678 68 (6 DT)
C CHRIS OWENS* .9241 187 (10 OG) DT TOMMY TOGIAI .9721 55 (3 DT)
RG EMIL EKIYOR JR. .9496 113 (3 C) DE TYREKE SMITH .9816 34 (4 WDE)
RT EVAN NEAL .9946 7 (1 OT) SLB/DB/DE BARON BROWNING .9940 11 (1 OLB)
RB NAJEE HARRIS .9984 2 (1 RB) MLB TUF BORLAND .8933* 324 (22 OLB)
TE MILLER FORRISTALL .8822 382 (16 TE) WLB/CB PETE WERNER .8994 277 (14 ILB)
WR DeVONTA SMITH .9717 62 (9 WR) CB/S SHAUN WADE .9904 17 (2 CB)
QB MAC JONES .8815 399 (18 PRO) S JOSH PROCTOR .9640 71 (7  S)
WR JOHN METCHIE III .9043 275 (40 WR) S/CB MARCUS WILLIAMSON .9250 182 (24 CB)
WR SLADE BOLDEN .8796 495 (14 APB) CB/LB SEVYN BANKS .9166 221 (23 CB)
               
  AVERAGE .9377 191 (11 POS)   AVERAGE .9532 118 (10 POS)
NUMBER OF DEFENSIVE PLAYERS RECRUITED PER POSITION
Alabama
         
Ohio State
POSITION NO. OF PLAYERS AVG RATING   POSITION NO. OF PLAYERS AVG RATING
SDE 6 .9671   SDE 3 .9188
WDE 8 .9642   WDE 3 .9495
DT 9 .9298   DT 9* .9384
OLB 4 .9696   OLB 8 .9354
ILB 7 .9388   ILB 3 .9302
CB 11 .9301   CB 7 .9386
S 6 .9574   S 7 .9385
             
TOTAL 51 .9473   TOTAL 40 .9366

*Antwuan Jackson Jr. was in the 2018 class as a transfer.

Five Things Alabama's Offense Vs. Ohio State's Defense

  1. Overall, Alabama's offense is Ohio State's defense is 82 points better than Ohio State's defense.
  2. The Buckeyes' secondary (94.90) has a substantial advantage over the Crimson Tide's passing game (QB, WRs) at an average rating of 90.93 points despite Alabama having the Heisman Trophy winner in DeVonta Smith.
  3. In the trenches, Ohio State's defensive linemen come in with a 97.57 average compared to Alabama's offensive line average of 95.84.
  4. RB Najee Harris (.9984) is the Crimson Tide's highest rated starting player on offense.
  5. Baron Browning (.9940) is the highest rated starting defensive player for the Buckeyes. 

Recruiting Battles

Najee Harris

The whacky final week of Harris' recruitment was covered this week by 247Sports, as it seemed like the nation's No. 2 overall player and No. 1 running back in the 2017 class was headed to either Alabama or Michigan.

Before that, though, Ohio State had been making an impression on Harris following an unofficial visit in April 2016 for the spring game. Tony Alford had done a good job of building a relationship with the five-star back, but he ultimately chose Alabama before a wild final week in his recruitment led to him sticking with the Tide.

Summary

Most believed that Ohio State's game against Clemson was going to come down to the battle in the trenches, and that proved mostly true. (And because Justin Fields is an alien.)

Heading into that game, the Buckeyes had a massive advantage in the average player ratings (97.57) on their defensive line over the Tigers’ offensive line (90.35). When looking at ratings and rankings for this matchup, though, the margins are much, much tighter. That should be a fun battle throughout the night which should be a key factor in determining the national champion.

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