Ohio State Favored to Beat Penn State by 5.5 Points One Week Before the Nittany Lions Come to Ohio Stadium

By Josh Poloha on October 12, 2023 at 6:45 pm
Ohio State team
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With the (possible) top-six showdown in Columbus looming a week from Saturday, Ohio State is listed as a less-than-a-touchdown favorite over Penn State.

Although the Buckeyes (at Purdue) and Nittany Lions (vs. UMass) have to take care of business this Saturday first, there has been plenty of talk surrounding what is expected to be a showdown of unbeatens in Columbus next Saturday.

With that, many sportsbooks already have betting lines posted for the game. Per BettingPros, the consensus line for the game currently has Ohio State as a 5.5-point favorite, though DraftKings (-5) has a slightly smaller spread. The Buckeyes opened as 9.5-point favorites over the Nittany Lions back in March.

OHIO STATE BETTING ODDS FOR 2023 SEASON
DATE OPPONENT SPREAD RESULT
SEPT. 2, 2023 AT INDIANA -30.5  OSU 23, IU 3
SEPT. 9, 2023 YOUNGSTOWN STATE -41.5 OSU 35, YSU 7
SEPT. 16, 2023 WESTERN KENTUCKY -27.5 OSU 63, WKU 10
SEPT. 23, 2023 AT NOTRE DAME -3.5 OSU 17, ND 14
OCT. 7, 2023 MARYLAND -19.5 OSU 37, MD 17
OCT. 14, 2023 AT PURDUE -19.5  
OCT. 21, 2023 PENN STATE -5.5  
OCT. 28, 2023 AT WISCONSIN -9.5  
NOV. 11, 2023 MICHIGAN STATE -24.5   
NOV. 25, 2023 AT MICHIGAN +3.5  

Ohio State is 5-0 to start the season but just 2-3 against the spread, though the Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS at home. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in two of their last three games after failing to do so in its first two games of the season.

Penn State is also 5-0 but has covered the spread in all of its five wins so far this season.

The Buckeyes are 23-14 all-time against Penn State, with wins in all of the last six matchups and 10 of the last 11 overall. Ohio State hasn't lost to the Nittany Lions in Columbus since 2011. That said, the Buckeyes haven't covered the spread in Columbus since 2015, failing to cover the spread while beating Penn State at home in three straight matchups in Columbus and five of the last eight home games against the Nittany Lions.

OHIO STATE'S BETTING RESULTS IN ITS LAST 12 GAMES VS. PENN STATE (VIA ODDS SHARK) 
DATE AWAY SCORE HOME SCORE RESULT HOME SPREAD ATS TOTAL O/U
OCT. 29, 2022 OSU 44 PSU 31 W +15.5 L 60.5 O
OCT. 30, 2021 PSU 24 OSU 33 W -18.5 L 60.5 U
OCT. 31, 2020 OSU 38 PSU 25 W +10 W 63 P
NOV. 23, 2019 PSU 17 OSU 28 W -20 L 58 U
SEPT. 29, 2018 OSU 27 PSU 26 W +3.5 L 69.5 U
OCT. 28, 2017 PSU 38 OSU 39 W -7 L 57.5 O
OCT. 22, 2016 OSU 21 PSU 24 L +17.5 L 54.5 U
OCT. 17, 2015 PSU 10 OSU 38 W -18 W 50 U
OCT. 25, 2014 OSU 31 PSU 24 W +13.5 W 53 O
OCT. 26, 2013 PSU 14 OSU 63 W -16 W 56 O
OCT. 27, 2012 OSU 35 PSU 23 W +1 W 51 O
NOV. 19, 2011 PSU 20 OSU 14 L -6.5 L 37.5 U

The showdown between Ohio State and Penn State is set to kick off at noon – which will be the Buckeyes' third straight 12 p.m. start – and will be televised on FOX a week from Saturday. FOX's Big Noon Kickoff pregame show will also be on campus in Columbus for the second time in three weeks.

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