These are the chances, if a team wins out, if they will make the playoffs, according to 538 (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-college-football-predictions/).

We lost a few teams from the Total Destiny list, and things are starting to shape up. We look like we will have the following teams ready to lock in.

• SEC Champ
• Big Ten Champ (if from East)
• Big 12 Champ (assuming not 2 losses)

Total Destiny (99%+)

• Georgia
• Alabama
• Oklahoma

Near Destiny (95-99%)

• Ohio State
• Oregon
• Oklahoma State
• Michigan State

Need Some Help (75-95%)

• Michigan

Need Lots of Help (50-75%)

• Cincinnati
• Texas A&M
• Wake Forest

There's a Chance (20-50%)

• Notre Dame
• Pittsburgh
• NC State
• Baylor
• Iowa State
• Wisconsin

Ohio State is in pretty good shape but can miss the playoffs with poor performances and no upsets and some bad luck with the selection committee, but still is mostly in Win and In mode. Cincinnati, the 2nd best team in Kentucky, looks to stay on the outside, even with the loss of Sparty.

(Mod Edit: Deleted your dupe, Hat.)