ESPN playoff predictor shows Georgia with 98% chance to make playoff and Alabama 65%. (Bucks at 55%) Given that chances are Georgia and The Tide will play each other, how could Bama be at 65%? At two losses they get in? Georgia gets in even if they are boat raced by Bama?
It's been a while since I had statistics in college, but for the life of me I can't see how any formula could have Bama at 65%. What am I missing?