Why in the world should Penn State be ranked ahead of Ohio State tomorrow? I ask this as a diehard OSU fan, but I would be asking the same question even if I weren't. OSU beat Penn State head to head ON THE ROAD and has 2 top 10 wins. Penn State's best win is 3-loss, 21st-ranked Illinois AT HOME. If Ohio State played Penn State's schedule and dodged Oregon and Indiana, they could've been playing tonight in the Big Ten Championship Game, even with a loss to TTUN (Indiana would've had to lose to somebody else—maybe they would play against and lose to Oregon instead of Ohio State in an alternate universe).
Although the game was close, Oregon was pretty much in control the entire game on a NEUTRAL SITE against Penn State. Between Oregon and Ohio State, the game was a back-and-forth affair that literally came down to the final second AT OREGON.
Also, let's not pretend like PSU dominated everyone they played in the 11 wins they have. Are we going to conveniently ignore their 10-point win over Bowling Green and their 1-point win over Minnesota (TTUN beat Minnesota)? I'm not trying to justify Ohio State losing to TTUN, but there is NO REASON Ohio State shouldn't be ranked ahead of Penn State tomorrow, besides the fact that Penn State has one extra win than Ohio State. However, shouldn't head-to-head results (especially since OSU won ON THE ROAD), quality wins, and results vs. common opponents outweigh one extra win when you're playing a much easier schedule?
I have confidence in the committee to rank OSU 7th tomorrow, but I think it's ridiculous if they don't, especially if Alabama also gets in over SMU. This would signal MAJOR INCONSISTENCIES. Between Penn State and Ohio State, you'd be valuing record over quality wins and head-to-head results, and between SMU and Alabama, you would be valuing quality wins over record. If Penn State is ranked ahead of Ohio State tomorrow, the committee will be rewarding Penn State for their easier schedule rather than rewarding Ohio State for their better wins and head-to-head win (most importantly). This would set a terrible precedent moving forward in an age with super conferences where many teams play much tougher schedules within their own conference than other teams.