With the Michigan/Georgia stuff in the headlines I've started to get ready to gear up for this season. I normally do a few of these threads in the pre season to help me get ready for gambling. College football futures is in my opinion the easiest way to make money. Info I have comes mostly from 247 breakdowns, insider info, rumors and following a few gambling sharps. I have never seen a team more hyped than this years Georgia team. The belief in Athens is this is their best team ever years and Bama/Clemson are expected to be down. I'll keep track of my bets with each thread:

Georgia 2022:

• 15-0 national champion, season started with 49-3 win over Oregon and ended with 65-7 over TCU. Not tested much throughout the year beating Tennessee and LSU comfortably. Only game they were challenged in was OSU. Finished an easy #1 in power ratings with SP+ giving them a score of 37.3 which is the best team of the playoff era. Their offense was very underrated all year this finished 4th in power ratings with their dominant defense finishing #2.
• Losses-They lost 10 guys to the draft. On offense they lose QB, both OT, TE, and RB. On defense they lose DT(Jalen Carter) both EDGE, S, and CB. They lost a few receivers to transfer but the guys they brought in are expected to be better.

Offense 2023

• QB-The competition is still ongoing but Carson Beck will be the guy. They expect him to be a drafted guy but not a star. Will be a better thrower than Stetson but not as good of a runner. Obviously havent seen him but I think this will be a slight downgrade from Stetson. 
• RB-They lose Kenny McIntosh but Daijun Edwards(769 5.5ypc) and Kendall Milton(592 7.0) returns for their senior seasons. They should be pretty dominant and will be likely the best duo in the SEC. They have good depth here too. Room should be similar to last year. 
• WR-This room will see a huge step up. They went and got Dominic Lovett(Mizzou 846 15.0ypc) and RaRa Thomas(MSST 626 14.2ypc) who were their teams leading receivers. They also return their top two receivers in Ladd McConkey and Marcus Rosemay. Arian Smith was hurt most of the year but came back to torch OSU for 126 yards on 3 catches, he is an elite speed guy who runs track.
• TE-Brock Bowers is going to be a top 10 pick and is simply a monster. However not having Darnell Washington should really hurt this offense. They went with 2 tight end sets most of the time but they dont have a legit guy behind Bowers. They will likely shift to having 3 receivers on the field and being more reliant on throwing.
• OL-They lose two great OTs but this group should be fine. The 3 interior guys all return after being really good and the new tackles are likely Amarius Mims and Earnest Greene who were high level recruits. They are expected to be good and this OL should be at a similar level 
• Overall- This top 5 unit from a year ago is going to have to go through a little bit of an identity change. OC Todd Monken(Great OC) moves on and Mike Bobo(who is a bad OC) takes over. Without Darnell Washington at TE2 and Stetson Bennets legs they will have to take advantage of the receiver transfers and start throwing it around a little more. I think this unit goes from a top 5 group to top 15. Even if Beck is a downgrade they likely have 7 players (2 WR, 3 OL, 1 TE, and 1 RB) get drafted after this year. 

Defense 2023

• DL-They lose Jalen Carter from the 3 man front but have everybody else back. This is a deep and old group that has played a lot of ball. However is isnt as super talented as the last couple years. Nobody is expected be drafted early. Mykel Williams is a sophomore who was a top 10 recruit expected to slide in for Jalen Carter, he is the one with the freaky talent who should burst onto the scene.
• EDGE-They lose both Nolan Smith and Robert Beal so this group is about to get really really young. Chazz Chamblis and Jamon Dumas Johnson will be the two guys. Dumas Johnson played a lot due to Nolan Smiths injury but I dont think this is a great duo. 
• LB- Jalon Walker and Smael Mondon are freaks. Nasty duo of future NFL LBs with elite athleticism
• CB-Top CB Kelee Ringo is gone which leaves Kamari Lassater, Daylan Everrette, and Tykee Smith. Lassiter is fine as a #2 corner but as you saw in the Peach Bowl got cooked when 1on1 vs a OSU caliber receiver. He didnt have to face that kind of guy much in the SEC. Everette is a former 5 star who will be taking over as the #1 guy, he has high expectations and is a freaky athlete. Tykee Smith will be the nickel corner, he was an all american in 2020 but was hurt in 21 and a backup last year. They feel good about him as their inside guy. Overall its a talented group that should dominate every receiving core except for one.
• S-Similar to LB they have a freaky duo here. Malaki Starks and Javon Bullard are great, the best safety duo in America.
• Overall-Will without a doubt be a top 10 unit again and likely top 5. S LB and Safety is incredible, the DL is really good, and the corners are really good. Only issue may be pass rush. Their EDGE players dont have that juice and Mykel Williams is probably the only DL with that juice. This defense will resemble Bama teams of like 6 years ago with giant tree trunk DL who free up elite LBs and Safeties to clean things up. They will dominate anybody who doesnt have receivers to get open. 

Schedule:

• not really going to break it down because its a damn joke. 4 cupcakes ooc, SEC East will be down, Tennessee will be the only top 25 team and they are much closer to 25. Then the draw from the west is Auburn and Ole Miss

Odds

• Championsip- +210
• SEC +105
• Win Total 11.5(juiced to the over)

As a team they deserve to be the favorite but I think the hype has ran away a little bit. The offense should be good but the assumption they dont miss a beat as they go to Bobo/Beck from Monkey/Bennett seems wild to me. This team seems atleast a field goal worse than last year(although that team was insane.) I disagree with the concept that last year was a "rebuild" which is the narrative being spun in Georgia. 

No matter how much of a step back you think they take the issue is the schedule/SEC are such a joke this year they dont have anybody to compete with. They will probably be double digit favorites in every game, Bama is going to be bad, and that leaves LSU as a maybe to compete with them in the SEC championship. I like the SEC +105 bet a lot because I think it is 100% that they make the championship game where they will be heavy favorite over LSU, at that point I can hedge or let it ride.

I dont love the championship odds simply because this Georgia team is no as well equipped to beat OSU this year. I am confident Georgia can beat everybody in America easily(including Michigan/PSU) except OSU. The defense isnt equipped to stop Marv/Egbuka/Flemming as evidenced by last year and OSU will come in with much more firepower at RB/TE than last year. Luck also seemed to tip it their way with DBs falling down and Marv leaving. +210 to make the playoffs, win a game, and then beat OSU is just way too low of odds imo. +210 imo implies double digit favorites in all 15 games and I just dont see that. 

My bets so far

• OSU Natty(+1000)-May not be the best team but these odds were crazy. 1 point worse than UGA last year and OSU should take a big step forward on defense and stay on offense while UGA takes a step back. 
• Georgia SEC(+105)-Another elite team with no weakness that has a cake schedule. I see a 100% chance of making it to Atlanta and then have a game against LSU where they are favored.