I saw someone mention that TTUN had underperformed in SP+ since Moore came in - wanted to check, and they have, by about 6 points a game. Who knows what is Moore, what is the absence of one Mr. Stalions, and what is game-by-game variation, but I do think it’s an interesting trend.

Maryland

• SP+ Projected Score: 34-14
• Actual Score: 31-24
• -3 on offense, -10 on defense, -13 from projected margin  

PSU

• SP+ Projected Score: 27-21
• Actual Score: 24-15
• -3 on offense, +6 on defense, +3 from projected margin

Purdue

• SP+ Projected Score: 43-7
• Actual Score: 41-13
• -2 on offense, -6 on defense, -8 from projected margin. 

That’s a total of -8 on offense, -10 on defense, -18 total; over three games, they’re underperforming expectations by 6 points per game.