I decided to take a stab at analyzing the 7/18/22 recruiting rating update(s) on 247. Specfically I looked at how players' 247 Composite Rating changed and how this in turn affected team recruiting stats. The way I got this data was by looking at player rating history pages (here is Brandon Inniss's page). From these pages I got a recruit's current rating (after the 7/18/22 update) and compared it to their most recent rating before the update and calculated the difference (rating delta). Also disclaimer Team Scores might be off by 0.01 or so; I wasn't quite able to get it the exact same as the score on the 247 website when trying to re-create them but this is pretty pretty close. Regardless, here's what the player deltas are for Ohio State's current 2023 class:
Recruit Name | Current Comp. Rating | Previous Comp. Rating | Rating Delta |
---|---|---|---|
Brandon Inniss | 0.9887 | 0.9897 | -0.0010 |
Noah Rogers | 0.9827 | 0.9769 | 0.0058 |
Carnell Tate | 0.9819 | 0.9858 | -0.0039 |
Luke Montgomery | 0.9792 | 0.9806 | -0.0014 |
Jason Moore | 0.9768 | 0.9761 | 0.0007 |
Dijon Johnson | 0.9543 | 0.9541 | 0.0002 |
Jelani Thurman | 0.9458 | 0.9405 | 0.0053 |
Ty Lockwood | 0.9393 | 0.9410 | -0.0017 |
Calvin Simpson-Hunt | 0.9341 | 0.9287 | 0.0054 |
Malik Hartford | 0.9326 | 0.9352 | -0.0026 |
Kayin Lee | 0.9279 | 0.9374 | -0.0095 |
Joshua Padilla | 0.9251 | 0.9268 | -0.0017 |
Jermaine Mathews | 0.9175 | 0.8956 | 0.0219 |
Austin Siereveld | 0.9148 | 0.9178 | -0.0030 |
Mark Fletcher | 0.9148 | 0.9179 | -0.0031 |
Cedrick Hawkins | 0.9147 | 0.9196 | -0.0049 |
Bryson Rodgers | 0.9090 | 0.9087 | 0.0003 |
Will Smith | 0.8853 | 0.8853 | 0 |
Miles Walker | 0.8842 | 0.8842 | 0 |
SUM | +0.0068 |
Overall the top 5 boosts went to Jermaine Mathews (0.0219), Noah Rogers (0.0058), Calvin Simpson-Hunt (0.0054), Jelani Thurman (0.0053), and Jason Moore (0.0007). The top 5 decreases went to Kayin Lee (-0.0095), Cedrick Hawkins (-0.0049), Carnell Tate (-0.0039), Mark Fletcher (-0.0031), and Austin Siereveld (-0.0030). Overall Ohio State gained 0.0068 recruit rating points as a result of the ratings update. Ohio State's Team Score went up from 285.59 to 286.13 (a 0.1898% increase).
I decided to take a look at how the top 20 recruiting teams got impacted by the rating update. Here's a breakdown of how the ratings update affected the entire top 20 teams (top/bottom 3 teams in the last two columns are highlighted):
Rank | Team | Previous Team Score | Current Team Score | Team Score Percent Change | Comp. Rating Points Delta |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State | 285.59 | 286.13 | +0.1898% | +0.0068 |
2 | Notre Dame | 285.26 | 285.36 | +0.0343% | +0.0016 |
3 | Penn State | 260.26 | 262.41 | +0.8244% | +0.0328 |
4 | Clemson | 260.22 | 260.66 | +0.1698% | +0.0112 |
5 | Texas | 260.00 | 259.71 | -0.1125% | -0.0051 |
6 | Georgia | 250.50 | 250.99 | +0.1920% | +0.0052 |
7 | Tennessee | 249.91 | 249.86 | -0.0202% | +0.0021 |
8 | LSU | 244.83 | 247.01 | +0.8892% | +0.0238 |
9 | Oklahoma | 240.31 | 243.14 | +1.1758% | +0.0310 |
10 | Miami | 243.47 | 242.88 | -0.2437% | -0.0035 |
11 | Alabama | 236.08 | 237.44 | +0.5737% | +0.0171 |
12 | Arkansas | 235.32 | 234.55 | -0.3244% | -0.0033 |
13 | USC | 222.64 | 221.18 | -0.6559% | -0.0149 |
14 | Baylor | 215.69 | 218.01 | +1.0774% | +0.0239 |
15 | Cincinnati | 214.59 | 213.46 | -0.5248% | -0.0126 |
16 | Texas Tech | 209.16 | 209.97 | +0.3879% | +0.0153 |
17 | Louisville | 210.12 | 209.09 | -0.4936% | -0.0079 |
18 | Northwestern | 206.14 | 207.01 | +0.4219% | +0.0090 |
19 | North Carolina | 205.64 | 206.11 | +0.2326% | +0.0048 |
20 | Iowa | 206.07 | 205.96 | -0.0544% | -0.0011 |
The 3 teams with the largest percent change in their Team Score were Oklahoma (1.1758%), Baylor (1.0774%), and LSU (0.8892%). 3 teams with the largest percent decreases were USC (-0.6559%), Cincinnati (-0.5248%), and Louisville (-0.4936%).
The 3 teams with the largest overall player rating delta were Oklahoma (0.0310), Penn State (0.0308), and Baylor (0.0239). 3 teams with the largest negative overall player rating deltas were USC (-0.0149), Cincinnati (-0.0126), and Louisville (-0.0079).
I really expected Alabama and Georgia to have a higher boost, but that's not what I am seeing when looking at the numbers. Same goes for us - I thought we originally went down in rating in fact.
At this point I was interested in seeing the 20 biggest risers and fallers within the top 20 teams from this latest rating update so here is that information.
Rank | Recruit Name | Team | Current Rating | Previous Rating | Rating Delta |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Austin Novosad | Baylor | 0.9353 | 0.9102 | 0.0251 |
2 | King Mack | Penn State | 0.9319 | 0.9092 | 0.0227 |
3 | Samuel Omosigho | Oklahoma | 0.9236 | 0.9014 | 0.0222 |
4 | Jermaine Mathews | Ohio State | 0.9175 | 0.8956 | 0.0219 |
5 | Daniel Sill | Texas Tech | 0.8801 | 0.8656 | 0.0145 |
6 | Sydir Mitchell | Texas | 0.9164 | 0.9027 | 0.0137 |
7 | Jordan Knox | Northwestern | 0.8938 | 0.8802 | 0.0136 |
8 | Daylen Austin | LSU | 0.9466 | 0.9338 | 0.0128 |
9 | Raylen Wilson | Georgia | 0.9771 | 0.9645 | 0.0126 |
10 | Whit Weeks | LSU | 0.8863 | 0.8747 | 0.0116 |
11 | Noble Johnson | Clemson | 0.9043 | 0.8935 | 0.0108 |
12 | Conrad Hussey | Penn State | 0.9064 | 0.8958 | 0.0106 |
13 | Dawshawn Womack | LSU | 0.9608 | 0.9505 | 0.0103 |
14 | Kaleb Jackson | LSU | 0.9334 | 0.9233 | 0.0101 |
15 | Nick Fattig | Texas Tech | 0.8667 | 0.8567 | 0.0100 |
16 | Christian Gray | Notre Dame | 0.9630 | 0.9542 | 0.0088 |
17 | Isaiah Augustave | Arkansas | 0.8852 | 0.8767 | 0.0085 |
18 | Jaybron Harvey | North Carolina | 0.9324 | 0.9245 | 0.0079 |
19 | Cayden Green | Oklahoma | 0.9626 | 0.9551 | 0.0075 |
20 | Yhonzae Pierre | Alabama | 0.9393 | 0.9320 | 0.0073 |
Some players who stuck out to me were Jermaine Mathews, Baylor QB commit Austin Novosad, Texas DT commit Sydir Mitchel, Georgia LB commit Raylen Wilson, and Notre Dame CB commit Christian Gray.
Rank | Recruit Name | Team | Current Rating | Previous Rating | Rating Delta |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kayin Lee | Ohio State | 0.9279 | 0.9374 | -0.0095 |
2 | Luke Hasz | Arkansas | 0.9522 | 0.9611 | -0.0089 |
3 | Drayk Bowen | Notre Dame | 0.9555 | 0.9635 | -0.0080 |
4 | Michael Daugherty | LSU | 0.8997 | 0.9069 | -0.0072 |
5 | Troy Bowles | Georgia | 0.9732 | 0.9797 | -0.0065 |
6 | Daylan Smothers | Oklahoma | 0.9119 | 0.9182 | -0.0063 |
7 | Chandavian Bradley | Tennessee | 0.9774 | 0.9836 | -0.0062 |
8 | Trey Holly | LSU | 0.9105 | 0.9162 | -0.0057 |
t9 | Mac Markway | LSU | 0.9309 | 0.9363 | -0.0054 |
t9 | Braxton Myers | USC | 0.9260 | 0.9314 | -0.0054 |
T9 | Daeh McCullough | Cincinnati | 0.9117 | 0.9171 | -0.0054 |
12 | Adonijah Green | Louisville | 0.9028 | 0.9080 | -0.0052 |
13 | Trevor Carter | Cincinnati | 0.8895 | 0.8946 | -0.0051 |
T14 | Caleb Herring | Tennessee | 0.9625 | 0.9675 | -0.0050 |
T14 | Tomarrion Parker | Penn State | 0.9577 | 0.9627 | -0.0050 |
T14 | Micah Tease | Arkansas | 0.9293 | 0.9343 | -0.0050 |
T14 | Isaiah Crawford | Texas Tech | 0.9281 | 0.9331 | -0.0050 |
18 | Cedrick Hawkins | Ohio State | 0.9147 | 0.9196 | -0.0049 |
19 | Nigel Glover | Northwestern | 0.8958 | 0.9004 | -0.0046 |
20 | Aaron Williams | Louisville | 0.9338 | 0.9383 | -0.0045 |
Note: Tiebreakers were determined by current recruit rating [tie went to the higher rated recruit(s)]
Some players who stuck out to me were our commits (Kayin Lee and Cedrick Hawkins), Georgia LB commit Troy Bowles, and Northwestern LB/S commit Nigel Glover. Not really sure why Kayin saw that much of a decrease in rating.
I'm really interested to see what everyone thinks about these findings. I know the team scores and total recruit ratings haven't changed too significantly, but it was still interesting to see what specific teams had higher boosts. I know people were interested in seeing if particular teams get boosted more so I wanted to see if there was some truth to that for this past rating update. Additionally, if anyone has any insights on why some of these players rose/fell that would be great!
Also I know this post would've been a little more interesting a couple days ago; just got a little lazy writing so apologies lol. And as always, please let me know if you notice anything incorrect; I tried my best to double check my work. Go Bucks!