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Statistical Analysis for How to Win the Game by Winning the Rushing Battle

-5 HS
hfhmilkman's picture
March 5, 2025 at 4:58pm
19 Comments

Below is a table that I believe makes itself self-evident on how to win the game.  The losing team has passed for 450 yards and lost.  The winning team has experienced pathetic passing and won big.  The key to winning the game is running the football and stopping the other team from running the football.  Fancy QB's, fancy receivers, and fancy pass defenders do not matter.  This is what Urban Meyer understood about winning and asserting his will on the enemy.  I put an * on the 2018 game, as the 18 inch touch pass to Paris Cambell is a run in my book.  The rank is rushing yards as measured in years 2011 to 2024 for each team.   Diff is the rushing difference for that year.  Whether it is an RB, a QB, or both, the key to winning is running the football, AND stopping the other team from running the football. 

Year OSU Rush rank TTUN Rush rank diff
2011 137 10 277 2 140
2012 277 3 108 9 165
2013 393 1 152 7 241
2014 233 5 121 8 122
2015 369 2 57 13 272
2016 206 7 91 11 115
2017 226 6 100 10 126
2018 171*(249) 8 161 5 10(88)
2019 264 4 9 12 173
2021 64 13 297 1 233
2022 143 9 252 3 109
2023 107 11 156 6 49
2024 77 12 172 4 95

The table is self-evident.  The five times there has been a loss, the rushing rank is 9-13, verses 1, 2, 3, 4, and 6.  I do not know what more to say.  The magic number is 150 yards of rushing.  Only twice has a team run for 150 and lost.    Every team that won, rushed for at least 150 yards and the team that runs better wins. 175 rushing yards guarantees victory.

I hope this information sets the emphasis for spring ball.

 

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